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The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday. This was the second consecutive day of growth, seemingly without sufficient grounds. However, it is essential to remember that we frequently discuss the factors supporting the pair's continued rise. Thus, even in the absence of local events and reports, the pair can still show growth, and this growth will be entirely logical and expected, as the trend on the daily timeframe remains upward. Unfortunately, the price has not yet managed to break out of the sideways channel on the same chart, so growth is restrained by the 1.1800-1.1830 area. However, there is an ascending trend line on the hourly timeframe, and until a consolidation below it occurs, it is unlikely to consider a new decline for the euro.
Yesterday, the US published its third-quarter GDP report, which significantly exceeded expectations and temporarily halted the US dollar's decline. However, as anticipated, it did not stop the decline but merely paused it. Two other reports on industrial production and durable goods orders again showed weak readings, so the dollar's rise was short-lived.
On the hourly timeframe, the EUR/USD pair continues to form an upward trend. The price may soon conduct a new test of the 1.1800-1.1830 area, which is the upper boundary of the flat on the daily timeframe. It is quite possible that this time a breakout will occur. The overall fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop for the US dollar remains very weak, so we expect the pair to rise in the medium term.
On Wednesday, novice traders may look to trade from the 1.1808 level, from which the price has already rebounded overnight. A bounce from this level could be viewed as a sell signal, but we are currently in an upward trend, even in the short term. A breakout above this level will signal a long position targeting 1.1851.
Key Levels to Consider on the 5-Minute Chart: 1.1354-1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527-1.1531, 1.1550, 1.1584-1.1591, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970-1.1988. On Wednesday, there are no significant events or publications scheduled in the Eurozone or the US. However, the market shows its readiness to trade during the holidays, so it is not ruled out that growth will continue.
Important Note: Significant speeches and reports (always included in the news calendar) can greatly influence the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade cautiously or exit the market to avoid sharp reversals against the preceding movement.
Remember: For beginners trading in the Forex market, it is important to understand that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing money management are keys to long-term trading success.